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Fed survey shows strains felt by US businesses, households amid tariffs
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

Fed survey shows strains felt by US businesses, households amid tariffs

While 11 of 12 Fed districts described “little or no” net change in employment compared with the prior month, seven districts described firms as “hesitant”, with two districts reporting a rise in layoffs.

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‘Worse than Great Recession’: US manufacturing contracts for 6th straight month as tariffs bite
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

‘Worse than Great Recession’: US manufacturing contracts for 6th straight month as tariffs bite

Tariffs have been slow to pass through to higher inflation, with economists arguing that businesses are still selling merchandise accumulated before the import duties kicked in.

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Eurozone inflation edges up in August, pointing to steady ECB rates for now
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

Eurozone inflation edges up in August, pointing to steady ECB rates for now

For now, markets see just a one-in-four chance of a rate cut by December but pricing goes above 50 per cent by early spring, suggesting that a debate on more easing is far from over.

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Asia factory activity shrinks as US tariffs bite, China bucks trend
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

Asia factory activity shrinks as US tariffs bite, China bucks trend

It’s a double whammy for Asian economies, as they face higher US tariffs and competition from cheap Chinese exports,” said Dai-ichi Life Research Institute chief,

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BOJ should keep raising interest rates, Deputy Governor Himino says
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

BOJ should keep raising interest rates, Deputy Governor Himino says

Himino said the BOJ should reduce its presence in the Japanese government bond (JGB) market as keeping excessive money in place unnecessarily could carry risks.

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The Fed’s pivot signals the start of a new market cycle
International A Think Lab 9/8/25 International A Think Lab 9/8/25

The Fed’s pivot signals the start of a new market cycle

For the first time in years, international equities outpaced their US counterparts by more than 10 percentage points in the first half of 2025.

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US Fed governor Waller calls for rate cut in September, sees more to come
International A Think Lab 9/1/25 International A Think Lab 9/1/25

US Fed governor Waller calls for rate cut in September, sees more to come

Christopher Waller again called for lower interest rates, saying he would support a quarter-percentage point reduction in September and anticipates additional cuts over the next three to six months.

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Bank of Korea holds for now, lays ground for rate cut after Fed
International A Think Lab 9/1/25 International A Think Lab 9/1/25

Bank of Korea holds for now, lays ground for rate cut after Fed

The BOK said in a statement that it maintains its rate cut stance, but would hold rates for the time being as it monitors household debt risks and the impact of US tariffs.

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Bubble risks grow as China’s stock bull run defies economy angst
International A Think Lab 9/1/25 International A Think Lab 9/1/25

Bubble risks grow as China’s stock bull run defies economy angst

A deflationary spiral that has eroded corporate pricing power in the world’s second-largest economy is one of the biggest reasons to doubt the sustainability of the current rally.

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ECB officials sticking to steady-rates plan after trade deal
International A Think Lab 8/25/25 International A Think Lab 8/25/25

ECB officials sticking to steady-rates plan after trade deal

Another serious blow to the economy or a steep downgrade in the inflation outlook, though unlikely, could still convince officials to lower rates once more this year, they said.

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Dow hits fresh record after US Fed chair signals possible rate cut
International A Think Lab 8/25/25 International A Think Lab 8/25/25

Dow hits fresh record after US Fed chair signals possible rate cut

All three indexes were bolstered after Mr Powell flagged the risks of higher inflation and a weakening jobs market at a central bankers conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

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Japan’s core inflation slows in July but stays above BOJ target
International A Think Lab 8/25/25 International A Think Lab 8/25/25

Japan’s core inflation slows in July but stays above BOJ target

The BOJ in 2024 exited a decade-long, massive stimulus and raised short-term interest rates to 0.5 per cent in January on the view Japan was close to durably hitting its 2 per cent inflation target.

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