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Seoul vows to step up negotiations as Trump announces 25% tariffs on goods from Japan, South Korea
International A Think Lab 7/11/25 International A Think Lab 7/11/25

Seoul vows to step up negotiations as Trump announces 25% tariffs on goods from Japan, South Korea

US stocks fell in response, the latest market turmoil as Mr Trump’s trade moves have repeatedly whipsawed financial markets and sent policymakers scrambling to protect their economies.

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Australia’s central bank keeps rates steady at 3.85%, stuns markets
International A Think Lab 7/11/25 International A Think Lab 7/11/25

Australia’s central bank keeps rates steady at 3.85%, stuns markets

The swift moves in markets imply around an 85 per cent chance the cash rate would be cut to 3.6 per cent at its Aug 12 meeting, and now favours rates bottoming at 3.1 per cent rather than 2.85 per cent.

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US Fed minutes show divide on rate cut pace, tariff impacts
International A Think Lab 7/11/25 International A Think Lab 7/11/25

US Fed minutes show divide on rate cut pace, tariff impacts

While a few participants noted that tariffs would lead to a one-time increase in prices and would not affect longer-term inflation expectations, most participants noted the risk that tariffs could have more persistent effects on inflation,

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Japan’s US$1.7 trillion fund boosts ESG holdings as others flee
International A Think Lab 7/10/25 International A Think Lab 7/10/25

Japan’s US$1.7 trillion fund boosts ESG holdings as others flee

GPIF and Norway’s US$1.9 trillion sovereign wealth fund are seen as rare examples of major investors that are continuing to support sustainability-related securities.  

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ECB warns of impact of heat waves on inflation, GDP growth
International A Think Lab 7/10/25 International A Think Lab 7/10/25

ECB warns of impact of heat waves on inflation, GDP growth

“If you think about the exceptionally hot summer of 2022, food-price inflation was up between 0.4 and 0.9 percentage points” and “there was quite a measurable hit on German GDP.

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Tariffs will kick in on Aug 1 barring trade deals: US Treasury Secretary
International A Think Lab 7/10/25 International A Think Lab 7/10/25

Tariffs will kick in on Aug 1 barring trade deals: US Treasury Secretary

So far, the Trump administration has unveiled deals with the United Kingdom and Vietnam, while Washington and Beijing agreed to temporarily lower staggeringly high levies on each other’s products.

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House narrowly passes Trump’s megabill in major victory for Republicans
International A Think Lab 7/7/25 International A Think Lab 7/7/25

House narrowly passes Trump’s megabill in major victory for Republicans

The independent Congressional Budget Office warns that the bill could add $3.4 trillion to the $36.2 trillion of the world’s largest economy’s existing debt over the next decade.

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China stock sentiment falls amid policy inaction and tariff concerns
International A Think Lab 7/7/25 International A Think Lab 7/7/25

China stock sentiment falls amid policy inaction and tariff concerns

The bank cautioned that markets could face increased volatility "in the next month or two," though they maintain a more positive outlook for fund flow momentum over the medium to long term,

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EU-US trade talks focus on tariff offset for automakers
International A Think Lab 7/7/25 International A Think Lab 7/7/25

EU-US trade talks focus on tariff offset for automakers

The EU is also pushing the US for quotas and exemptions to effectively lower Washington’s 25 per cent tariff on automobiles and car parts, as well as its 50 per cent tariff on steel and aluminium.

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Powell reiterates Fed will wait for more data before cutting rates
International A Think Lab 7/4/25 International A Think Lab 7/4/25

Powell reiterates Fed will wait for more data before cutting rates

Powell noted that a majority of Fed officials in recent projections still expect to lower the benchmark interest rate, with none of the remaining four meetings off the table.

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US bonds set for further hit from Trump’s ‘big, beautiful’ spending Bill
International A Think Lab 7/4/25 International A Think Lab 7/4/25

US bonds set for further hit from Trump’s ‘big, beautiful’ spending Bill

The US national debt has increased fourfold in less than 10 years to around US$36 trillion, with about US$29 trillion held publicly.

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Euro zone inflation edges higher, hitting ECB’s 2% target in June
International A Think Lab 7/4/25 International A Think Lab 7/4/25

Euro zone inflation edges higher, hitting ECB’s 2% target in June

Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, tobacco and alcohol prices, was unchanged at 2.3% in June.

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